mindtangle

Mudslinging

postedby ericnguyen on March12th,2008 tagged politics

It looks like the Democratic primaries will be a war of attrition, from here on out. It seems clear to me that Obama will win; his lead at this point is nearly unsurmountable. But the race is still close enough from Clinton to stay in. Unfortunately, at this point, it seems clear that Clinton has a lot more to gain from ugly campaigning than Obama does. As the Economist notes:

A campaign that degenerates into name-calling and mud-slinging will hurt Mr Obama more than it does Mrs Clinton. He has campaigned on messages of “change” and “hope” so he faces an unenviable choice in the long run-up to Pennsylvania. If he lets the Clinton team fling the brickbats without retaliation she may set the tone of the campaign. But respond in kind and his message of a new politics is tarnished. Even though he is behind there in the polls, Pennsylvania cannot come soon enough for Mr Obama.

Time to settle in. I hope Obama weathers it without having to stoop too low.

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    It will be an interesting race all the way to the end. In a way, it's the opposite of 2004. Here we have two fantastic candidates and people are sparking to one or the other fiercely. (Except for me, I'm in love with both!) So nice to not have another John Kerry where people were reluctantly voting for him because "at least he's wasn't Bush." You have any predictions on how FL and MI will play out?
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    Yeah, it's a good time to be interested in politics, especially on the Dem side. As for MI/FL, some people are thinking that MI might actually have a re-vote:

    http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/03/...

    "While the idea of Florica re-vote seems to be fading, there is a lot of momentum among Michigan Democrats for a June 3 re-vote, according to informed sources in the state. There are a couple of hurdles, including who would pay for the primary (100% Clinton donors or 50-50 split between Clinton and Obama donors; the preference of state Democrats). The state would pass a law that would appropriate the money to run this special primary election; not a mail-in, but a full bore in-person 100% open primary. The state, in turn, would be reimbursed by the Democratic Party or potentially other entities or even seeing if it's possible for donors to contribute to the state directly. Everyone seems to be on board in the state Democratic world of Michigan, including the governor, the Dingells, Carl Levin, the Kilpatricks and the U.A.W. For those that follow Michigan Democratic politics closely, you'll know getting all those folks in agreement isn't easy."
 
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